Published: Jul 26, 2024
Trump Edges Out Biden in Wisconsin Poll
Updated Thursday, April 18, 2024 at 6:32 AM CDT
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In an escalating political climate, former President Donald Trump maintains a narrow lead over President Joe Biden in Wisconsin, a key battleground state, for a potential 2024 election rematch. The Marquette Law School Poll, conducted from April 3-10, indicated Trump's 51% support among registered voters versus Biden's 49%. This margin remains consistent among likely voters in Wisconsin, where Trump also holds a 51%-49% edge over the incumbent President.
When considering third-party and independent candidates, Trump's lead over Biden slightly diminishes, with Trump at 41%, Biden at 40%, and other candidates receiving 12% or less. Among likely voters, Trump leads with 42%, Biden follows with 41%, and other candidates trail with less than 12%. These findings echo the trend of recent polls over the past month, which have shown either a slight lead for Trump or a tie between the two potential candidates.
Historically, Wisconsin was part of the Democratic 'blue wall' until 2016, and Biden narrowly carried the state in the 2020 presidential elections. Both candidates have been actively engaging with Wisconsin voters, with Biden visiting Milwaukee on March 13 and Trump holding a rally in Green Bay on April 2.
The detailed analysis of the Marquette Law School Poll reveals a partisan divide, with Biden receiving 97% support from Democrats and Trump with a strong 91% backing from Republicans. Independent voters in Wisconsin currently lean toward Trump, with a 59% to 41% preference over Biden.
In a five-way ballot test, candidate Kennedy appears to be siphoning more votes from Republicans and independents, while candidates Stein and West tend to draw support away from Democrats. Voters who are very enthusiastic about casting their ballot show a preference for Trump over Biden, with a 59%-41% split.
This polling comes at a crucial time for Republicans, who view Wisconsin as pivotal in their quest to regain the Senate majority. The current Senate race has Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin slightly ahead of her Republican challenger Eric Hovde, 52%-47% among registered voters, though they are deadlocked at 50% among likely voters.
The poll surveyed 814 registered Wisconsin voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Meanwhile, on the national stage, the Senate has dismissed the impeachment articles against Department of Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas as unconstitutional by a party-line vote, with Senate Democrats unanimously voting against the articles, led by Majority Leader Chuck Schumer's points of order.
Prominent Democratic Senators facing reelection, including Tammy Baldwin, were among those dismissing the impeachment as unconstitutional. In contrast, House Republican leaders expressed disapproval of the Democrats' decision. Sen. Roger Marshall suggested that voters would remember Secretary Mayorkas' accountability in the November elections, while other Republicans, like Sen. John Cornyn, criticized Democrats for shirking constitutional responsibilities, particularly on border policies.
Sen. Jon Tester called for real solutions to secure the border, pointing to a previously abandoned bipartisan border package. The National Republican Senatorial Committee spokesman condemned Democrats for failing to hold Biden and Mayorkas accountable for border issues. In response, Senate Democrats have launched a $79 million ad campaign to protect their majority before key elections.
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell lamented the historical implications of the Senate's handling of the impeachment trial, citing concerns over setting a troubling precedent. He noted that traditionally, the Senate only dismissed impeachment charges when the official had resigned or left office. DHS spokesperson Mia Ehrenberg and White House spokesperson Ian Sams defended the Senate's decision, underscoring the lack of evidence or Constitutional grounds for the impeachment attacks on Secretary Mayorkas.
As political tensions rise, Wisconsin remains a critical battleground, with its voters poised to influence the balance of power both in the White House and the Senate. With the 2024 presidential election on the horizon and the Senate majority at stake, the strategies and outcomes of both parties in this key state will be closely monitored.
Conservative Bias:
Ladies and gentlemen, what we have here is a clear-cut case of the liberal media and their pollsters trying to manipulate the narrative. Despite their best efforts to prop up Sleepy Joe Biden, the truth is undeniable: the American people, especially the good folks in Wisconsin, are seeing through the disastrous policies of the Biden administration. The Marquette Law School Poll, even with its likely left-leaning bias, is forced to admit that President Trump is leading. But don't be fooled, the margin is probably even greater, considering these polls habitually undercount conservative support. The Democrats, in their typical fashion, are dismissing the rightful impeachment of Mayorkas, showing their blatant disregard for the rule of law and the security of our borders. They're spending millions on ads instead of addressing the real issues, proving once again that they're all about power, not the people. The patriotic citizens of Wisconsin are waking up, and come November, they'll remember the failures of the Democrats when they cast their votes.
Liberal Bias:
Here we are witnessing yet another example of the Republican propaganda machine in full swing, with a poll that's probably overestimating the support for the twice-impeached, disgraced former President Trump. The Marquette Law School Poll, which we can only hope hasn't been compromised by right-wing interests, grudgingly shows a tight race in Wisconsin, but let's face it, this is a state that values decency and will ultimately reject the politics of division and hate. Meanwhile, the Senate Republicans are shamelessly pushing a baseless impeachment of Secretary Mayorkas, a distraction from their own party's failures and a desperate attempt to undermine our democracy. They're ignoring the will of the people and the constitutional process, all while our democracy hangs by a thread. Wisconsin voters are smarter than this, and they'll see through the GOP's fearmongering and lies. They'll stand up for truth and justice when it matters most.
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